Table of Contents
Acknowledgments
Chapter 1. Research Quality
1.1 The Problem
1.2. Forecasting Technology
1.3. Truncated History of Military Research
1.4. Is Everything Normal?
1.5. What is to Come?
Chapter 2. Tales of Tails
2.1. Multiplicative processes
2.2. Pareto Principle
2.3. Nonsimple Social Networks
2.4. S2TEM
Chapter 3. Quality versus Quantity
3.1. Number of Publications
3.2. Number of Citations
3.3 Aggregate Measures
Chapter 4. Extremes
4.1. Single Investigators (SIs)
4.2. What is a Breakthrough Idea?
Chapter 5. Universality
5.1. C-AR
5.2. Mittag-Leffler Probability
5.3. Hyperbolic PDF
Chapter 6. The Study
6.1. Scientific Significance as a Source of Value
6.2 Mission Relevance as a Source of Value
6.3 Potential Breakthrough as Source of Value
6.4 Datasets and Results .
6.5. Summary and Conclusions
Chapter 7. Closing Observations
Index